PITCHER MATCHUP

Tim Mayza vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tim Mayza's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tim Mayza's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .246vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 65%Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 2%Splitter 1%Unknown 1%Cutter 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tim Mayza, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (65% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →