PITCHER MATCHUP

Tim Mayza vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tim Mayza's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tim Mayza's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .243vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 64%Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Splitter 1%Unknown 1%Cutter 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tim Mayza, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (64% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →