PITCHER MATCHUP

Tim Mayza vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tim Mayza's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tim Mayza's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 61%Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 7%Splitter 1%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tim Mayza, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .379
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →