PITCHER MATCHUP

Tim Mayza vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tim Mayza's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tim Mayza's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 61%Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 8%Splitter 1%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tim Mayza, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .378
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (61% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.