PITCHER MATCHUP
Taylor Clarke vs Philadelphia Phillies
How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taylor Clarke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Taylor Clarke's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Slider 35%Changeup 24%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 12%Cutter 9%
How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taylor Clarke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 688 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →