PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .386vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Slider 44%Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 6%Changeup 3%Splitter 3%Curveball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.