PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026
Slider 44%Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 7%Changeup 3%Splitter 2%Curveball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →