PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026
Slider 45%Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%Splitter 2%Curveball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.