PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026
Slider 45%Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%Splitter 2%Curveball 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.