PITCHER MATCHUP
Tatsuya Imai vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tatsuya Imai's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .386vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Slider 44%Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 6%Changeup 3%Splitter 3%Curveball 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 RG Riley Greene LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
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9 JO James Outman LHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
- Slider (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.