PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026
Slider 43%Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sinker 7%Changeup 4%Splitter 2%Curveball 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-25 game page →