PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .386vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Slider 44%Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 6%Changeup 3%Splitter 3%Curveball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Slider (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →