PITCHER MATCHUP

Tatsuya Imai vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tatsuya Imai's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tatsuya Imai's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026
Slider 45%Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%Splitter 2%Curveball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tatsuya Imai, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Slider (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.