PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .250vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.