PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .250vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.