PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .250vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.