PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 29%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 3%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AM Angel Martínez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.