PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 28%Sinker 21%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.