PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 28%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.