PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 21%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Christian Koss RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jonah Cox RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Cox
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Turner Hill LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Turner Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.