PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .250vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.