PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.