PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 29%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 3%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JH Jonah Heim SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →