PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 28%Sinker 20%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JH Jonah Heim SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.