PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .256vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 29%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 3%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Alika Williams RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.