PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .256vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 28%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 4%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JL Josh Lowe LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jose Siri RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Tyler Heineman SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.