PITCHER MATCHUP

Tarik Skubal vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tarik Skubal's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tarik Skubal's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .252vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 29%Sinker 22%Slider 14%Curveball 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tarik Skubal, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JL Josh Lowe LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →