PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Gordon vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Gordon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Gordon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 24%Changeup 21%Curveball 6%Sinker 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Gordon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LC Luis Campusano RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.