PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Gordon vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Gordon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Gordon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 25%Changeup 21%Curveball 6%Sinker 3%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Gordon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LC Luis Campusano RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →