PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Gordon vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Gordon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Gordon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 26%Changeup 21%Curveball 5%Sinker 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Gordon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.