PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Gordon vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Gordon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Gordon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 25%Changeup 21%Curveball 5%Sinker 3%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Gordon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →