PITCHER MATCHUP
Tanner Bibee vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tanner Bibee's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 15%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BM Braden Montgomery SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.