PITCHER MATCHUP
Tanner Bibee vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tanner Bibee's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.