PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.