PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KC Kody Clemens SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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