PITCHER MATCHUP
Tanner Bibee vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tanner Bibee's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.