PITCHER MATCHUP
Tanner Bibee vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tanner Bibee's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 RG Riley Greene LHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.