PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.