PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →