PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KK Kyle Karros RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →