PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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