PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.