PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.