PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.