PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →