PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.