PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →