PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .449 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.