PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 15%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →