PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ER Esteury Ruiz RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esteury Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.