PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.