PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Changeup 16%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.