PITCHER MATCHUP

Tanner Bibee vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tanner Bibee's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tanner Bibee's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Cutter 23%Changeup 16%Sinker 14%Sweeper 10%Curveball 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tanner Bibee, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Cam Smith RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jake Meyers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Meyers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →