PITCHER MATCHUP
Taj Bradley vs Seattle Mariners
How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Taj Bradley's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 18%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%
How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .333
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1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .363
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.