PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 19%Curveball 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →