PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 19%Curveball 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →