PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 18%Curveball 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.