PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 18%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.