PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 22%Splitter 18%Curveball 12%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →