PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 18%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.