PITCHER MATCHUP

Taj Bradley vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Taj Bradley's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Taj Bradley's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 23%Splitter 19%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Taj Bradley, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .397
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.