PITCHER MATCHUP
Steven Cruz vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Steven Cruz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Steven Cruz's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Cutter 28%Slider 18%Unknown 1%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Steven Cruz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .342
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .410
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .459 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.