PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Strider vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Strider's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Strider's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Slider 33%Curveball 11%Changeup 6%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Strider, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .327
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BB Brett Baty LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JS Juan Soto LHB .405
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .451 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.