PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Strider vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Strider's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Strider's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Slider 33%Curveball 11%Changeup 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Strider, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .404
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .445 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.