PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Strider vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Strider's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Strider's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Slider 33%Curveball 11%Changeup 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Strider, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.