PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Arrighetti vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .451 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.