PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .368vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 8%Changeup 8%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.