PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.