PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 7%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →