PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Arrighetti vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JB Javier Báez SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MC Max Clark LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.