PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.