PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Curveball 27%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 7%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.