PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.