PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.