PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.