PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →