PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .369vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.