PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 7%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →