PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Arrighetti vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JW James Wood LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JY Jacob Young RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BH Brady House RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.