PITCHER MATCHUP

Spencer Arrighetti vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 28%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.