PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Arrighetti vs Cleveland Guardians
How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 29%Sweeper 12%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%
How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 JA Jo Adell RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 JR José Ramírez SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Angel Martínez SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.