PITCHER MATCHUP
Spencer Arrighetti vs Cleveland Guardians
How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Spencer Arrighetti's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 29%Sweeper 13%Cutter 11%Changeup 8%Sinker 8%
How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Spencer Arrighetti, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 JA Jo Adell RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 655 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JR José Ramírez SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AM Angel Martínez SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.