PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Sinker 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.