PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .461 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.