PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JE J.C. Escarra LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.C. Escarra
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →