PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.