PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Sinker 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Braden Montgomery SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →