PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →