PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.