PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 19%Sinker 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.