PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 18%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JJ Josh Jung RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Corey Seager LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JP Joc Pederson LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.