PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Josh Jung RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →