PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Sweeper 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.