PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.