PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.