PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 20%Sweeper 20%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →