PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →