PITCHER MATCHUP
Sonny Gray vs Athletics
How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sonny Gray's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 19%Sweeper 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%
How the Athletics's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .306
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1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 HB Henry Bolte RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 JH Jonah Heim SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Max Muncy RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DW Donovan Walton LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AW Alika Williams RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.