PITCHER MATCHUP

Sonny Gray vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sonny Gray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sonny Gray's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Sweeper 19%Curveball 17%Cutter 16%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sonny Gray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jonah Heim SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →